![]() ![]() Consequently, Lucid projects generating $1.52 billion in free cash flow in 2026. Over the next several years, capex spending is expected to taper off, ending with the company spending $573 million on capex in 2026. In terms of cash flow, Lucid expects that it will allocate $1.9 billion for capital expenditures (capex) in 2023 - the highest amount over the next five years - presumably to prepare for the production of its SUV that's planned for that year. If Lucid meets its revenue and EBITDA forecasts in 2026, it'll generate an EBITDA margin of about 12.7%, comparable to the 13% EBITDA margin that Tesla has reported on a trailing-12-month basis. Profitability on an EBITDA basis, on the other hand, isn't expected to occur until 2024. To put this in perspective, consider that over the past five years, Tesla has reported an average gross margin of 19.7%. It expects the company to consistently generate a gross profit, averaging about 22% from 2023 through 2026. But with production ramping up next year, management believes revenue will grow considerably and continue to do so for the next five years. Growing from 7,000 in 2025 to 75,000 in 2026, sales of the more-affordable vehicles will help the company (presumably) sell 251,000 vehicles in 2026.īased on the belief that it'll sell about 1,000 vehicles this year, Lucid expects to book $97 million on the top line. Similar to Tesla's approach, Lucid expects to transition from only selling luxury vehicles to also offering more-affordable models, which it expects to introduce in 2025. With projected Air deliveries rising to 36,000 and Project Gravity deliveries of 12,000, Lucid expects to sell about 48,000 vehicles in 2023.īy 2026, however, management expects SUV deliveries of about 134,000 to outnumber Air deliveries (about 42,000). Over the next five years, Lucid foresees considerable growth in production, including the introduction of an SUV, Project Gravity, in 2023. ![]() Management recently reported that the company has received more than 9,000 reservations for the Lucid Air, and it expects to deliver about 1,000 units of the luxury sedan to customers in North America by the end of the year deliveries to customers in international markets will commence in 2022. Assembly of the company's first production model, the Lucid Air, will occur at the newly built factory in Arizona in the second half of 2021. #Lucid stock forecast drivers#While no drivers are now seeing any Lucid EVs next to them in traffic, the company expects to have vehicles on the road before 2022 begins. ![]()
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